Archived Analysis
A snapshot of Modern from October 15, 2025.
The Modern format holds a Final Health Index of 63.2 this week, signaling a format that is internally robust but struggling with external engagement. While our Metagame Diversity Score sits strongly at 74.4 and Archetype Distribution is an exceptional 90.3, the core story of Modern right now is participation fatigue and high-powered strategies dominating the top tables.
The numbers confirm a heavy tilt toward aggression, with the AGGRO super-archetype claiming 52.5% of the meta share—a significant jump from the historical average of 43.5%. CONTROL has suffered the most, dropping to 16.2%. More concerning are the abysmal participation metrics. The Player Growth Score sits at a meager 13.3, driven by paper participation declining 8.1% per month, and a catastrophic -100.0% average decline in MTGO participation, resulting in zero reported MTGO players last month.
Despite the format's overall high diversity scores, the Top 10 list shows clear leaders. Death And Taxes commands the metagame with a leading 14.5% share, followed by Boros Aggro at 10% and Affinity at 9%. Rounding out the highly concentrated top decks are 4/5c Aggro and UR Aggro, both claiming 8% each. The rest of the Top 10 is highly fragmented, with decks like Merfolk (0.4%) and Jund (0.2%) barely registering.
The format’s B&R Health Score remains high at 80.0, reflecting the lack of recent card changes, with AI analysis suggesting the format is self-correcting. Yet, community sentiment remains deeply mixed. Discussion is dominated by the polarizing dominance of the Rakdos Scam archetype, with many calling for a ban on *Grief* due to the unfairness of turn-one evoked elementals. On the innovation front, players are experimenting with the integration of *Leyline of the Guildpact* into Domain strategies, leveraging the card for powerful payoffs like *Scion of Draco* and *Tribal Flames*. While *Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer* is still powerful, the community views elementals like *Subtlety* and *Endurance* as essential safety valves necessary to balance this high-velocity environment.
Archived on: 10/15/2025, 3:44:33 PM