Archived Analysis

Modern is holding a respectable 67.5 Final Health Index this week, presenting a narrative of divergence where player enthusiasm is strong, but event stability is wavering. The data shows exceptional Player Growth, scoring 86.7 due primarily to Paper participation expanding at an average of 7.0% monthly. This enthusiasm is contrasted by a weak 36.0 Event Growth Score, signaling that the rate of organized events is declining by 6.0% monthly, despite high turnout when events occur.

Despite mixed growth trends, the format structure itself remains sound, demonstrated by an excellent 87.8 Archetype Distribution Score. However, the metagame data confirms Aggro is running the show, representing 59.5% of the overall field, dramatically exceeding the historical average of 44.3%. Combo strategies still maintain a significant presence, holding 29.2% of the slice.

Anyone preparing for a Modern event needs to focus on the top two decks: Boros Aggro leads the pack at 15.5%, followed closely by the disruptive Death And Taxes at 14%. There is a sharp drop-off after the leaders, with Affinity holding 8% and 4/5c Aggro and UR Aggro tied at 7%. This clear hierarchy means that while metagame diversity is acceptable at 69.6, preparation for the aggressive frontrunners is paramount.

The AI analysis confirms the format's resilience, noting a high B&R Health Score of 80.0, suggesting the ecosystem is self-correcting. Community discussion centers heavily on the relentless efficiency of Rakdos Scam and Domain Zoo, particularly the fatigue around turn-one disruption from Evoke elementals. Players are actively responding to this pressure, shifting the focus to resilient midrange strategies. This adaptation is visible in the renewed buzz around optimized Eldrazi builds and Temur Rhinos adapting its counter suite to better handle disruption, proving that the format continues to reward innovation over external intervention.