Archived Analysis

A snapshot of Pauper from December 26, 2025.

Pauper: Hyper-aggression causes format stagnation.
Analysis from December 26, 2025

Pauper enters the week looking healthy, yet predictable. Our Final Health Index clocks in strong at 78.4, signaling a robust format structure, but the community discussion reveals undeniable frustration with stagnation. We are currently defined by aggression, with the AGGRO super-archetype dominating 65.6% of the metagame, a figure almost perfectly aligned with the historical average of 66.5%.

Looking deeper into the metrics, the format’s foundation is excellent. The Metagame Diversity Score sits at a high 79.5, and the Archetype Distribution Score is fantastic at 91.2, proving that while the top tier is narrow, competitive options abound further down the list. Event Growth remains positive, with MTGO participation specifically showing significant vitality, growing at 5.2% monthly, even as Paper participation declines by 4.4%. The B&R Health Score registers a solid 70.0, supporting the data showing that Wizards is taking a measured, cautious approach, opting to postpone action on potential changes to gather more data.

The current list of decks to beat is defined by speed and efficiency. Burn leads the pack at 9.6% of the meta share, closely followed by Mono Blue Aggro (8%) and a dead heat between Affinity and Red Deck Wins (both 7%). Jund rounds out the top tier at 6%. If you aren't prepared for a fast clock, you won't survive the current Pauper environment.

The pressure exerted by these top decks is the core of recent community discussion. Frustration focuses on the efficiency of aggressive Red decks, particularly the impact of *Monastery Swiftspear*, which many feel is pushing the format too fast. This has led to an uptick in defensive inclusions, with players leveraging cards like *Standard Bearer* and *Moment's Peace* to survive. Despite this, innovation is alive: we are seeing players piloting Flicker Tron, often utilizing *Stonehorn Dignitary* to effectively neutralize the hyper-aggressive strategies. Furthermore, innovative Dimir Terror builds are splashing for sideboard bombs like *Dust to Dust* and *Prismatic Strands* to better handle the artifact and aggro saturation. The data confirms Pauper is deep and highly engaged, but the competitive players are clearly ready for a shake-up.

Back to Archive Index

Archived on: 12/26/2025, 8:11:21 PM