Archived Analysis

A snapshot of Pioneer from December 2, 2025.

Pioneer: Aggressive decks completely dominate metagame.
Analysis from December 2, 2025

Pioneer is clocking in at a strong 72.2 Final Health Index this week, reflecting a format that is fundamentally stable but clearly accelerating. The main story this week is the continued shift toward pure speed. Aggro now makes up a massive 70% of the super-archetype breakdown, significantly higher than the format’s historical average of 63.7%. This rise in velocity has pushed Control down to just 13.5% of the overall meta share, proving that if you aren't fighting on the first few turns, you are likely behind.

Drilling down into the key health metrics, the Archetype Distribution Score is robust at 89.2, suggesting viable options across the field, even with Aggro dominating the volume. However, the Metagame Diversity Score is a bit lower at 68.8, indicating that while many strategies exist, the top performers are highly centralized. We also see an interesting split in participation: while the Player Growth Score sits at a solid 75.9 due to MTGO growing at 1.4% monthly, paper play is shrinking at an average of -2.0% per month, and overall events are declining at a -1.9% rate.

The top of the standings is a battle for efficiency. Gruul Aggro leads the charge, capturing 19% of the reported metagame. Rakdos Aggro follows close behind at 13%, with Arclight Phoenix still holding a significant chunk at 11%. If you are not prepared for turn-three assaults, you will lose, as shown by Boros Aggro (5%) and Devotion to Green (4%) filling out the next tier. The variety in the remaining Top 10 decks confirms the depth of aggressive options available to players seeking to exploit the format's speed.

The community consensus aligns with the data: the format is stable, demonstrated by the strong 75.0 B&R Health Score and the decision to implement no card changes. This stability, however, fuels ongoing debate centered on the persistent dominance of Rakdos Midrange. Players are constantly optimizing against the ubiquitous presence of Thoughtseize and Sheoldred, the Apocalypse. The data confirms this competitive tension, showing aggressive decks like Boros Convoke and Gruul Vehicles gaining traction, specifically designed to go *under* the established midrange threat. While older strategies like Lotus Field Combo are discussed, current focus is intensely on the explosive speed of Amalia Combo. Furthermore, Leyline Binding, utilized in the refinement of Domain Aggro, is becoming a key answer against the format's defining staples.

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Archived on: 12/2/2025, 1:23:17 AM

    Pioneer: Aggressive decks completely dominate metagame. | MtG Health Index Archive